Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 2.795990e-05 3.338641e-05 0.000039 0.000046 0.000054 0.000062 0.000071
2025-04-13 1.889740e-05 2.539651e-05 0.000033 0.000042 0.000054 0.000067 0.000082
2025-04-20 1.381974e-05 2.071394e-05 0.000029 0.000041 0.000055 0.000072 0.000094
2025-04-27 1.071942e-05 1.778542e-05 0.000027 0.000040 0.000058 0.000079 0.000106
2025-05-04 8.755287e-06 1.595440e-05 0.000026 0.000041 0.000061 0.000087 0.000121
2025-05-11 7.879852e-06 1.550248e-05 0.000027 0.000044 0.000067 0.000098 0.000140
2025-05-18 6.721251e-06 1.437853e-05 0.000026 0.000045 0.000071 0.000106 0.000155
2025-05-25 4.919988e-06 1.181838e-05 0.000023 0.000042 0.000070 0.000107 0.000160
2025-06-01 3.723895e-06 1.003710e-05 0.000021 0.000040 0.000069 0.000109 0.000167
2025-06-08 3.004859e-06 8.991218e-06 0.000020 0.000040 0.000071 0.000114 0.000178
2025-06-15 2.381278e-06 7.978084e-06 0.000019 0.000039 0.000072 0.000119 0.000188
2025-06-22 1.764802e-06 6.788599e-06 0.000017 0.000038 0.000071 0.000120 0.000194
2025-06-29 1.143224e-06 5.449907e-06 0.000016 0.000036 0.000071 0.000123 0.000204
2025-07-06 6.307494e-07 4.054721e-06 0.000013 0.000033 0.000068 0.000123 0.000210
2025-07-13 3.678155e-07 3.218063e-06 0.000012 0.000032 0.000068 0.000127 0.000220
2025-07-20 2.259419e-07 2.695658e-06 0.000011 0.000031 0.000070 0.000133 0.000235
2025-07-27 1.480154e-07 2.378368e-06 0.000011 0.000032 0.000073 0.000142 0.000254
2025-08-03 1.229727e-07 2.364666e-06 0.000011 0.000034 0.000080 0.000156 0.000282
2025-08-10 8.216720e-08 2.150618e-06 0.000011 0.000035 0.000084 0.000166 0.000303
2025-08-17 2.862207e-08 1.575597e-06 0.000010 0.000033 0.000081 0.000166 0.000308
2025-08-24 8.674445e-09 1.204186e-06 0.000009 0.000031 0.000081 0.000168 0.000318
2025-08-31 2.631556e-09 1.001651e-06 0.000008 0.000031 0.000082 0.000174 0.000333
2025-09-07 3.949855e-10 8.116671e-07 0.000007 0.000030 0.000083 0.000180 0.000348